The global equity markets have seen the mother of all volatile times during the first four and a half months of the year 2020. From the peak of early 2020, the key equity markets saw a sharp decline of over 35% in most cases. Following those lows, the stocks have also managed to recoup around 30% of…
Blog posts : "Special Articles"
This Bearish Divergence Is Causing Short-Term Deceleration Of Momentum In Gold
The Gold prices marked the incremental high near USD 1748 levels in April. However, if we see, they have been marking modestly lower tops and bottoms on the daily chart and seem to have got trapped in a congestion zone between 1680-1748 levels.
After witnessing a sharp recovery from U…
Using INDIAVIX The Right Way; Mistakes To Avoid When Analysing VIX
Volatility Index, VIX, often comes into the limelight in the periods of heightened volatility in the markets. Presently, the India Volatility Index, INDIAVIX, which witnessed a lifetime high of 86.64. From the closing high of 83.61, this Index, which also known as a fear gauge, has come off by nearl…
With No Signs Of Equities Bottoming Out, These Two Charts Tell An Interesting Story
After declining over 35% from the 2020 peaks, the global equity markets found a temporary base, and in the current technical pullback, it has recouped over one-third of its total losses. Traders and Investors alike have formed different opinions on whether the Equities have bottomed out while they p…
Special Note: These 3 Charts Have A Story To Tell; RRG Chart Point Towards Higher Alpha Generation On A Relative Basis
The headline index NIFTY presently trades near its life-time high levels and has returned a stellar 15% over the past 12 months and 1.08% on the Year-to-Date basis. Having said this, the loss of momentum and few negative divergences on the leading indicators are quite evident on the charts. It will …
Special Note: Are We Looking At 2020 As A Year Of Capped Gains? These Charts Have A Story To Tell
While the year 2019 ended, we saw the markets ending near the high point of the year. Despite the negative ending on the last trading day of the year, the frontline NIFTY50 has ended the year with strong gains of 11.53% on a yearly note. However, that being said, the year has also left us with so mu…
Special Note: What To Expect In Samvat 2076
The year that ended today with NIFTY closing at 11583.90 remained quite eventful for the Indian equity markets.
We traditionally wish “Happy and Prosperous New Year,” and the current year remains prosperous in a literal sense. On the last trading day of the current Samvat on 6th November 2018, …
Special Note: Under-performance of Small Cap Index Against NIFTY; What It Means Going Ahead
Over the last couple of months, we have seen the NIFTY Small Cap 100 Index under-performing the headline NIFTY Index. If we analyze its recent performance, the previous 6-months have seen the NIFTY returning 8.76% while the NIFTY Small Cap 100 Index has lost 3.71%. The last 12-month performance of t…
Special Note: Are PSU Banks Likely to Outperform Private Banks? See What RRGs Have To Say
We head in to the month which would remain most volatile and eventful as we face one of the most important domestic events – General Election Results.
The equity markets are hovering around their lifetime highs. On one hand, they grapple with not-so-favorable technical set up as they …
Special Note: When VIX Defies Its Inverse Relationship With NIFTY
The Volatility Index - more commonly known as VIX is a measurement of market's expected volatility in the future. Analysts and Investors alike look at this tool to measure sentiment while making investment decisions. It reflects market participants psychology of greed and fear and it is often referr…
Some Insights From The NIFTY Premiums
As we know, a futures instrument derives its value from its respective underlying asset. For example, the NIFTY futures instrument derives its value from the NIFTY's spot price. Though the futures price and the price of its underlying move in the same direction, they do not maintain the same distanc…
Are We In For An Improved Market Breadth? The Level Of 9200 Holds The Key
The Indian markets saw a strong start to the week as the headline index ended with a robust gain of 132.65 points (+1.20%). With this move, the index has once again attempted to achieve a breakout. This being said, over past many weeks, the market breadth has been an area of concern. With each up mo…
A Special Note: A Look At Broader Market Charts As Market Breadth Remains A Concern
Following a brutal decline that the NIFTY witnessed beginning September 2018, the index found its support just below 10,000 mark and witnessed a technical pullback. This technical pullback halted near 10950 level in early December 2018. Since then, for next two months, the index has resisted multipl…
Announcing Partnership With StockCharts.com
January 29, 2019 (REDMOND, WA) - StockCharts.com has announced a recent addition to its team of contributing authors, Milan Vaishnav. Mr. Vaishnav has begun creating new content for the website, published under the blog "Analyzing India". With this partnership, Mr. Vaishnav has become the first Sto…
The Year That Was & Sectors To Look At In 2019
Though the last trading session of 2018 remained rather dull with the Markets ending on a flat note, the year itself remained in stark contrast to its last trading day. Throughout the previous year, the NIFTY remained affected by events, both global and domestic, in nature. Among others, it included…
Special Note: Sectors To Look At In Such Turbulent Times
The Indian benchmark NIFTY50 saw violent sell-off beginning previous month. On the Week ending October 5th, it also violated the 3-year old upward rising channel. Though, it has not started to give lower top and bottoms on the Weekly Chart; though presumably it will do so this week, we try and e…
Dow Jones Industrial Index – DJIA : Advance-Decline Line point towards fresh highs for the Index
Dow Jones Industrial Index – DJIA which has resumed its up move after some prolonged consolidation that begin after the Index hit its lifetime high of 26616.71 on January 06, 2018. During corrective retracement that followed, it tested 23360 and thereafter remained in ranged consolidation in a s…
US Dollar Index Breakout on all time frame charts – INR to remain weak in the coming weeks
On Monday, currencies across Emerging Markets saw themselves weakening against the US Dollar. This weakness had Turkish crises to blame as the Turkish Lira has lost nearly quarter (25%) of its value against the US Dollar ever since the spat between Turkey and US broke out. This happened due to the…
Special Note: Study Of NIFTY Against Sectors &Broader Indices - What Helps NIFTY And What Drags It!
In early 2018, the NIFTY marked its life-time high levels of 11171.55 and since then it has remained under consolidation for the rest of the time of this year. After marking this level, the NIFTY created a lower top for itself in the 10800-10850 zone and continued to resist to the falling trend line…
Technical Charts Suggest Sharp Up-Move in Crude Prices In Coming Weeks
Professional Technical Analysts often argue that if you know your Charts well, you can see much beyond the price. It is sometimes wonderful to see that even if one is not completely aware of the fundamental inputs; Market Participants know it all and it all gets discounted in the price. In other wor…
20 blog posts
Previous Editions
- Daily Market Outlook (86)
- Special Articles (20)
- Weekly Market Outlook (30)